THE latest Nanos federal ballot tracking (November 2) has the Liberals at 39.6 per cent support, followed by the Conservatives at 28.1 per cent, the NDP at 19.3 percent, the Bloc Quebecois at 1.9 per cent, the Greens at 6.9 per cent and the newly formed People’s Party of Canada (PPC) at 1.2 per cent.
For the last three weeks, the Liberals have been ahead of the Conservatives by at least 10 points.
Justin Trudeau as usual was the preferred choice as Prime Minister at 41.2 per cent of Canadians followed by Conservative Party Leader Andrew Scheer at 20.3% – a 21-point difference.
NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh was the preferred choice as Prime Minister at 8.2%, Green Party Leader Elizabeth May was at 6.3% and PPC Leader Maxime Bernier at 2.4%. Twenty per cent of Canadians were unsure whom they preferred.
Six in 10 Canadians (59.5%) believe Trudeau has the qualities of a good political leader, while 41.1 per cent believe Scheer has the qualities of a good political leader. One in three (34.7%) say Jagmeet Singh has the qualities of a good political leader, while 35.4 per cent believe the same about May. One in five (19.7%) believe Bernier has the qualities of a good political leader and one in six (16.2) say BQ Leader Mario Beaulieu has the qualities of a good political leader (Quebec only).
Asked whether they would consider voting for each of the federal parties, 52.6 per cent of Canadians say they would consider voting Liberal, while 43.8 per cent would consider voting Conservative. Roughly four in 10 (41.6%) would consider voting NDP, 31.3 per cent would consider voting Green, 10.9 per cent would consider voting for the People’s Party and 21.7 per cent would consider voting for the BQ.
The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation. The data is based on a dual frame (land + cell-lines) random telephone interviews using live agents of 1,000 Canadians using a four week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of 1,000 respondents may be weighted by age and gender using the latest census information for Canada. The interviews are compiled into a four week rolling average of 1,000 interviews, where each week the oldest group of 250 interviews is dropped and a new group of 250 interviews is added. Current data is for the four week period ending November 2, 2018.
A random telephone survey of 1,000 Canadians is accurate ±3.1 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.