Conservatives lead the Liberals by three points in two polls (Nanos and Abacus Data)

Andrew Scheer and Justin Trudeau.
Andrew Scheer and Justin Trudeau.

THE latest Nanos federal ballot tracking (May 3) has the Conservatives at 34.5 per cent, followed by the Liberals at 31.8 per cent, the NDP at 15.9 percent, the Bloc Quebecois at 4.6 per cent, the Greens at 9.7 per cent and the People’s Party of Canada (PPC) at 0.9 per cent.

Asked whether they would consider voting for each of the federal parties, 46.2 per cent would consider voting Conservative, while 45.6 per cent would consider voting Liberal.

Four in 10 (38.2%) would consider voting NDP, 33.9 per cent would consider voting Green, 9.1 per cent would consider voting for the People’s Party and 36.4 per cent would consider voting for the BQ.

Justin Trudeau is the preferred choice as Prime Minister at 30.9 per cent of Canadians, followed by Conservative Party Leader Andrew Scheer (27%), NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh (7.7%), Green Party Leader Elizabeth May (9.6%) and PPC Leader Maxime Bernier (1.7%). Twenty two per cent of Canadians were unsure whom they preferred.

Forty-three per cent of Canadians believe Trudeau has the qualities of a good political leader, while 39.8 per cent believe Scheer has the qualities of a good political leader. Three in 10 (31.4%) say Jagmeet Singh has the qualities of a good political leader, while 37.4 per cent believe the same about May. One in six (18.1%) believe Bernier has the qualities of a good political leader and 26.1 per cent said BQ Leader Yves-François Blanchet has the qualities of a good political leader (Quebec only).

 

ABACUS DATA SURVEY

 

Last week, Abacus Data completed a nationally representative survey of 4,015 Canadians and explored their views on Canadian politics.

Here’s a summary of what they found:

* The Conservatives lead the Liberals 34% to 31% with the NDP at 17%.
* Regionally, the Conservatives hold a massive lead in the Prairies while the Liberals lead by double digits in Quebec and by four in B.C. Ontario remains highly competitive while the margin between the Liberals and Conservatives in Atlantic Canada has closed from 26 points at the end of December to 5 points today.
* One in three Canadians feels that the country is heading in the right direction, while 45% say it is on the wrong track, unchanged from March but a big downward shift from December.
* Similarly, views of the federal government’s performance hit a new low in their latest survey. Today, 32% approve of the job the federal government is doing. For most of 2018 approval ranged between 42% and 45%.
* Canadians are more likely to think the Conservatives (36%) will win the next election rather than the Liberals (25%), while 3 in 10 think it’s too close to call.