Conservative lead grows, Trudeau’s disapproval high: Forum Poll

The Centre Block (in French: Édifice du Centre) is the main building of the Canadian parliamentary complex on Parliament Hill, in Ottawa, Ontario, containing the House of Commons and Senate chambers, as well as the offices of a number of members of parliament, senators, and senior administration for both legislative houses. It is also the location of several ceremonial spaces, such as the Hall of Honour, the Memorial Chamber, and Confederation Hall.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Centre_Block

IN a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll among 1,484 Canadian voters, amongst those decided and leaning, if an election were held today, almost half (46%) say they would support the Conservatives, while a third (30%) say they would support the Liberals.

One-fifth (18%) say they would support the NDP. Few say they would support the Green Party (4%), Bloc Quebecois (2%), or another party (1%).

Respondents most likely to say they support the Conservatives include those aged 45-54 (50%), 55-64 (48%) or 65+ (48%); males (52%); earning $60,000-$80,000 (54%); the least educated (52%); and living in Alberta (65%).

Respondents most likely to say they support the Liberals include those aged 45-54 (35%) or 65+ (34%); with a college / university (32%) or post-graduate degree (35%); and living in the Atlantic provinces (44%).

Respondents most likely to say they support the NDP include those aged 34 and younger (31%); females (21%); the least wealthy (25%) or earning $20,000-$40,000 (24%); and living in BC (28%).

 

Conservative Majority

 

Based on these results, the Forum Poll projects the Conservatives would secure a majority government with 234 seats.

The Liberals would serve as official opposition with 72 seats, and the NDP would secure 30 seats. The BQ and the Green party would secure 1 seat each.

 

Trudeau Approval Down, Disapproval Up

 

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau sees approval from a third (35%) and disapproval from more than half (56%). One in 10 say they do not know (9%). His net favourable score (approve minus disapprove) is -21.

Conservative Party Leader Andrew Scheer sees approval from a third (31%) and disapproval from a third (34%). A third say they do not know (35%). His net favourable score (approve minus disapprove) is -3.

Federal NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh sees approval from one-quarter (27%) and disapproval from a third (35%). Four in 10 (38%) say they do not know. His net favourable score (approve minus disapprove) is -8.

“The Conservatives have strengthened their lead over the governing Liberals going into the summer break,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “The Prime Minister is seeing a high level of disapproval right now and that could account for the lack of support for his party.”

 

 

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