59 per cent say SNC-Lavalin situation will impact their vote: Forum Poll

More than half say the situation has worsened their opinion of Trudeau

 

Justin Trudeau

IN a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll among 1,301 Canadians 18 years of age or older, almost two-thirds (59%) say the SNC-Lavalin situation will have an impact on their vote, with a third (36%) saying it will have a strong impact.
More than three quarters (80%) of Conservative voters say it will impact their vote.
It will likewise affect the vote of one-third (30%) of Liberals.
About 4 in 10 (41%) say it won’t impact their vote, with a quarter (24%) saying it won’t impact their vote at all.
Almost three-quarters (70%) of Liberal voters say it won’t have an impact on their vote.

HALF (55%) say they could confidently explain the situation related to the Prime Minister’s office, with a quarter (27%) saying they could very confidently explain.
Conservatives (62%) and Liberals (63%) are most likely to say they could confidently explain the situation.
More than 4 in 10 (45%) say they couldn’t confidently explain the situation, with a quarter (27%) saying they couldn’t do so confidently at all.
Green (56%), Bloc Quebecois (54%), or People’s Party of Canada (53%) voters are most likely to say they couldn’t confidently explain it.

THE majority (57%) say that the situation has worsened their opinion of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, while a third (36%) saying it had no effect, and about 1 in 10 (7%) said it’s improved their opinion of the Prime Minister.
Respondents most likely to say their opinion has worsened include those aged 35-44 (64%), males (64%), earning $80-100,000 (62%) or the most wealthy (62%), with a college / university (59%) or post-graduate degree (58%), living in the prairies (Manitoba / Saskatchewan) (75%) or Alberta (76%), and supporting the BQ (66%) or PPC (68%).

“A considerable proportion of Canadians say they can explain the situation that occurred between the Prime Minister’s office and SNC Lavalin,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “The situation hasn’t caused a drag on Liberal fortunes yet, it seems, but the longer the situation remains headline news, the less likely that is to remain the case.”